A/B test significance calculator

Calculators

Enter visitors and conversions for A and B to get conversion rates, uplift, p-value, confidence, and whether the result is significant. Everything runs in your browser; your data is never uploaded.

What is this A/B significance calculator?

A free, browser-based calculator that tells you whether the difference between two conversion rates is real or just noise. Enter the visitors and conversions for each variant and it computes both conversion rates, the relative uplift, the p-value, your confidence, and a clear verdict — significant or not — at the confidence level you choose. Everything runs locally in your browser, so your data is never uploaded.

Methodology and assumptions

We use a two-tailed, two-proportion z-test with a pooled standard error — the standard method for comparing two conversion rates. The z statistic is (rateB − rateA) ÷ pooled standard error, and the p-value comes from the standard normal distribution. A result is flagged significant when the p-value is below (1 − confidence).

  • Each visitor's outcome is independent (a fresh visitor, randomly assigned).
  • The sample is large enough — a rule of thumb is ~10+ successes and ~10+ failures per group.
  • Don't repeatedly peek and stop early — decide the sample size up front to avoid false positives.

How to use it

  1. Enter visitors and conversions for variant A (control) and B (variant).
  2. Pick your confidence level (90% / 95% / 99%).
  3. Read the verdict, uplift, p-value, and confidence on the right.

Common use cases

  • Deciding whether a new landing page truly beats the old one.
  • Checking an email subject-line or ad creative test before rolling it out.
  • Avoiding shipping a change that only looked better by chance.

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Operated by

unbounded pioneering inc
Timothe AI

Tools by Timothe AI is a suite of free tools built and operated by unbounded pioneering inc, the company behind Timothe AI.

Ryosuke Suzuki
Ryosuke SuzukiFounder & CEO

Founder & CEO of Unbounded Pioneering Inc., the company behind Timothe AI, and an expert in machine learning and AI product development. He began his career in machine learning research at a university laboratory, then designed and built large-scale products as a software engineer at PLAID, Rakuten, and Recruit, while also driving new business development. Now specializing in generative AI and AI products, he works across both engineering and business development, and is a named inventor on multiple granted patents in web technology.

Named inventor on granted patents JP6887648 & JP7480958 · Patent pending on Timothe AI technology

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